Wednesday, November 11, 2009

A Little Bit of Everything

NHL (Flat Bet @ 2x)
Carolina +146
Islanders +188

NCAAB (Risk/Win 2x) <--- If +101 or higher, risking 2x, else to win 2x
Detroit +18
UNC -46
Robert Morris +17.5

NCAAF (Flat Bet @ 4x)
Toledo +17

NBA (Risk/Win 4x)
Knicks +5.5
Charlotte +4.5
Bucks +3.5
Hornets +6.5
Minny +8

Things that will end well: This card.


Fuck.

Tuesday, November 10, 2009

Updated Google Sheet

Dropped my October plays in to the google spreadsheet. Among the highlights is dropping 4k on Minnesota vs Pitt early in the week at a bad number, thinking the line would drop, then crying as I couldn't hedge without a decent middle catastrophe shot... They then lost by 10 points so it didn't matter, except that I lost. That sucked.

I get good lines

There are much better numbers available now.

NBA Plays (4x)

Charlotte 3.5 -104
Washington 6.5 +117
Chicago 2.5 +100
Memphis 5.5 -102
Sacramento 1.5 +108

NHL Plays (2x)

Boston -126
Montreal +119
St. Louis -115
Nashville +244

Sunday, November 8, 2009

Holy Shit


Friday, November 6, 2009

Day 2 of the revival

Hooray for yesterday. Now there are about 30 NBA games today. Next Friday is 195 NCAAB games. Which will absolutely be awesome.

NHL 2x each:

Chicago
NYI
Buf
Tor
Florida

NBA 4x each:

Charlotte +2.5/+2
Knicks +8.5/+8
Miami -1
Memphis +10

NCAAF:

LT +20.5 6x
U51.5 3x

Thursday, November 5, 2009

Back on the Blogging Train

Alright, here goes:

Hockey Plays (2x)
Phoenix
Montreal
Edmonton (3x)
LA Kings
Minnesota
Tampa Bay

NBA Plays (4x)
Utah +1

Fade for great justice. Go Jazz.

guess where all the money went!! october sucks a fat one

I was trying to look for a clip from Tiny Toon adventures where Plucky was potty training, and he just started throwing things down the toilet, flushing, and saying "__ go down the hoooole"... See, because that's where my money went, down the hole... Funding people on matchbook who believe in locks, guarantees, teams that will "crush" other teams, and so forth. Here is what the chart looks like:



As you can see, things were pretty awesome, then everybody died. Obviously this was all NFL, in which I have lost over 100x so far this year. There's really nothing I can do about it, nor is there anything I would have done differently. Obviously, two Sundays ago was "the worst day in Vegas ever ever ever", and I followed suit by having my worst day ever. Again, I think that's sort of the point, the plan of attack is to play at or even slightly below 50%, grind out a profit at a 1-2% ROI based on Matchbook's awesome negative-vig system.

There are going to be days like this.

That being said, everything else is doing very well. Hockey hasn't turned a profit yet, but then again, it's 38 games at 1 or 2 units per, so who cares, anyway. Baseball was very profitable near the end of the season, and most of our series bets won, and I was able to put money on the Yankees @ -180 last night without hating myself, so that was nice.

Here's what October looks like in chart form:











Same standard ~250k wagered, not as pretty results. If you're reading this blog, you know how college football went, with Juice, Paulus, some terrible backdoors against us, whatever.

Hopefully this means I'm back to posting, sorry for being such a queer for losing 20 grand in a one week period.


Wednesday, October 14, 2009

Now you may legally bet on hockey

Not really "legally", whatever. But last night marked the beginning of the "holy shit there's nothing else on but I need to bet.. fuck... hockey?? Okay then" period. This will last until early November, when people have daily NCAA and NBA games. But last night had games with 12-15k bets on each of the few games, which is similar to the amount on a typical (if not high-volume) regular season baseball game.

Carolina (2)
Tulsa (6)
Tulsa Under (3)

11:25 PM EST - Edited with my final information. Nobody follows this so whatever.

Sidebar updated.

If anyone wants to employ a professional gambler/degenerate, let me know. I know excel and I make a mean carrot cake.

Friday, October 9, 2009

Why I'm On The Yankees

1) Because I hate myself.
2) Because I'm craving sweet, sweet action.
3) The numbers say that it's a "contrarian" play. It's anywhere from 62 to 67% on the Yankees tonight. This doesn't include people throwing them in parlays and whatnot... I'm hoping that there's value based upon a bullshit notion of the uncanny valley:


Where people will see a big favorite (-170) and think they're a lock, not bet either side on a +/-220, then once it gets to ridiculous territory like we're at tonight, skew towards throwing some money on a +300.

I'm most likely wrong, but here we are. I have acheived... action.

New York Yankees, the most decorated sports franchise in human history since forever. 3 of your golden units.

Google Spreadsheet

HERE



Just for the hell of it.
 
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